Home prices by neighborhood

Here are some numbers for home sales in St. Paul, Minnesota for the month ending February 29. The high demand and low supply kept home prices up. Most of the city is experiencing a strong seller’s market. Downtown St. Paul is experiencing a weak seller’s market.

Overall the average days on the market is 41 days. Interest rates went up in February and mortgage applications went down. Experts are predicting lower interest rates during the second half of the year with home sales rising in 2025.

Home sales by St. Paul neighborhood
Home sales by St. Paul neighborhood

The numbers used in the chart were extracted from the NorthstarMLS which is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Other sources of this information include areas outside of the city of St. Paul, the information presented here is inside the city limits and does not include suburbs.

 

Another low inventory spring market

The trend is down for the number of houses on the market in March. It isn’t just about higher interest rates, but nterest rates are making it worse. It is also about fewer reasons to move.  Fewer people are moving because of a new job. Demographics are another reason for staying put. Older people do not move as often as younger people do. Add a shortage of housing to the mix and we have yet another reason why people don’t move.

The chart shows the number of houses on the market each month in St. Paul over the last decade.  The peaks each year occur in the spring, and the valleys happen during the holidays at the end of the year.  I’ll have some numbers for February 2024 home sales on Wednesday, March 6.

Number of houses for sale – data from the Northstar MLS

 

January 2023 Vs January 2024, Home sales

The infographic is from Minnesota Realtors which is our state Realtor Association. Home sales were up in January year over year and there are more houses on the market this January in Minnesota than there were in January 2023. Home sales prices are up and interest rates were slightly lower this year than last year but too high.

Infographic - January 2023 Vs January 2024
Minnesota Real Estate January 23 Vs January 24

January 2024 home sales in St. Paul

So far this year is kind of a yawner when it comes to home sales. Median home sale prices are up from last January, but everything else is pretty much the same. Fewer homeowners want to move away from the low mortgage interest rate they have and are not putting their homes on the market.

The demand for homes is high and the supply is low. We have been seeing the same trend for almost a decade.

The numbers in the table below is a summary of data extracted from the Northstar MLS which is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. An MLS is a database of homes for sale that have been listed by Realtors. Homes for sale on real estate company websites and on the major real estate portal sites receive all or most of their data from MLSs.

Since real estate is local I like to publish the numbers for St. Paul, sorted and subtotaled by neighborhood.

Home sales by St. Paul neighborhood
January 2024 Home sales in St. Paul

For more local numbers and information please see Local Market Conditions & Home prices.

 

Median Home sale price gains slowing

Median home prices went up in St. Paul last year by less than $2000. The low supply and high demand had an impact but maybe prices are starting to level off.

Median Home sale prices in St. Paul
Median home sale price growth over the last 10 years

The median home sale price in St. Paul was $280,000 in 2023.  It was $155,500 in 2014. I’ll go out on a limb and predict a small increase in the median home price in 2024.

2023 was a record breaking year

Here is a chart that shows how many home sales there were in St. Paul, Minnesota, in each of the last five years. Home sales hit a record low for the entire region.

The main reason for fewer home sales is that fewer homeowners wanted to sell. We can blame higher mortgage rates. This phenomenon is nationwide, more or less.  I think we will see more home sales in 2024 than we did in 2023.

graph of home sales from 2018 through 2023
Total Home sales in St. Paul, 2018-2023

The data used to create the graph was extracted from the NorthstarMLS which is deemed reliable but isn’t guaranteed and doesn’t come with a report writer.