A special anniversary

wooden houses
Houses

It was ten years ago this month that we made our last mortgage payment.  It was a joyous occasion.

By the numbers: 30.9% of Twin Cities metro-area homes were owned outright in 2022, up from 27.7% in 2017, according to the latest census data. The number of people who own homes free and clear is on the rise probably because older people are more likely to have the mortgage paid off.

I have read a lot of advice that says having a mortgage is a good thing. Yes, mortgage interest may be tax deductible but only for those who itemize. Those deductions work the best for the wealthy. In fact, if you are wealthy, buy real estate.

If you managed to pay off your mortgage congratulations! Don’t let anyone tell you that it was a mistake to pay it off.

 

Mortgage rates July 2024

Mortgage interest rates went down a little last week. Apparently, there is less inflation, and employment numbers were revised. I find the whole job thing confusing as I know several people who are struggling to find the right job.

Here is a look at mortgage interest rates from Freddie Mac. They are below 7% but not by much. Lower rates cause mortgage applications to rise.  The number of homes on the market in the Twin Cities is up slightly from last month. Home buyer demand remains very strong.

Chart - average mortgage interest rates
Mortgage rates

 

Mortgage interest still too high

On average mortgage interest rates decreased slightly last week compared to the prior week. Rates are up from last year at this time, just below 7%.  Still too high.  Home prices are still rising but at less than 5% and rents in the Twin Cities have increased by less than 4% this year.

I am disappointed in the Federal Reserve. I had hoped they would be lowering rates by now. High housing costs and high interest rates are contributing to inflation.

Freddie Mac mortgage rate chart

 

 

2008 all over again?

Coins, moneyLet’s not forget what happened during the housing crash. Many homeowners ended up in a negative equity position. In other words, they owed more on their houses than the houses were worth. I well remember sellers bringing money to the closing so the mortgage could be paid off.

Here we go again with loans that guarantee the borrower will have no equity from the start via zero-down mortgages.

United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), one of America’s largest mortgage lenders, is offering zero-down mortgages, opening up home ownership to more people but revitalizing a controversial practice that carries as many risks as advantages for cash-strapped home buyers.

Here’s how it works: For first-time homebuyers making 80% of their area’s median income or less…

  • Buyers take out a mortgage for 97% of the value of the house they buy.
  • The remaining 3%, up to $15,000, is a second interest-free mortgage.

The second mortgage has to be paid back in one payment when the first mortgage is paid off or the house is sold or refinanced.

Under the program homebuyers start without any equity, so if the value of their home decreases, they would instantly owe more than the house is worth.

If a buyer has to sell quickly, they’ll still have to pay back the entire second mortgage or risk default/foreclosure.

Buyers may get stuck with a higher mortgage rate, even if the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates because to refinance, borrowers need to have enough cash to pay back the second mortgage.

Please think before you borrow and borrow responsibly.

Mortgage Interest Rates Matter

Will mortgage interest rates go down this year? Some experts are suggesting that rates will go down in September. Even with the higher rates home prices are rising and the number of home sales in 2024 will likely be up from 2023. Go figure!

Please borrow responsibly.  When you borrow it is a win for your employer because you will need to work hard to pay back your loan.

When rates go down the demand for houses will rise, which will drive prices higher still.

Keep an eye on rents. Rent growth was around 2.2% in the Twin Cities last year and less than half a percent for luxury properties. (Axios)

Chart of mortgage interest rates
Mortgage interest rates

Higher mortgage rates results in fewer home sales

According to the National Association of Realtors:

“Single-family home sales declined to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.8 million in March, down 4.3% from 3.97 million in February and 2.8% from the prior year. The median existing single-family home price was $397,200 in March, up 4.7% from March 2023.

At a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 390,000 units in March, existing condominium and co-op sales decreased 4.9% from last month and 11.4% from one year ago (440,000 units). The median existing condo price was $357,400 in March, up 5.8% from the previous year ($337,900).”

This year waiting until spring to sell a house may not have been the wisest choice. So much for hind site. When rates go down prices will go up due to the pent up demand from home buyers who did not want to pay the higher mortgage interest rates.

The best time to sell in 2024 may have already passed. Keep an eye on the interest rates.