Biking season

 It is possible that it will stop snowing and will be warm enough to want to ride a bike some day.  I have had my bike out a couple of times but wearing all of those winter cloths, fighting a twenty mile an hour wind and freezing my legs off takes much of the joy out of it.

6a00d83451d6cf69e20134823ab7c9970c 800wi
My bike

We have an amazing bike trail system in the twin cities.  No one really knows how big it is because we don’t have any complete maps.  The trails go along the river and through the parks and around the lakes.  There are miles and miles of them and they are in great shape.  Did you know there are trails along 35e in St. Paul?  Some of the trails are county and others are city and some are state so we have five different government agencies and five sets of old and incomplete maps.  The last state map was made in 2001 and it is still considered to be the best. 

My favorite trails are the trails that run along the Mississippi River. They are part of the regional trail system . . I think.  Minneapolis has bike trails that go around the lakes and they call it the grand rounds but the web site has a drawing on it and not a map

My phone has a built in GPS and I think I found an easy way to record my route along the bike paths.  I am going to see if I can make maps of the St. Paul bike trails with my phone, my bike and Google maps. . . but not until it stops snowing . . July? 

Home prices & sales by neighborhood

march2011
march 2011

Monday is a great day for posting some local housing numbers because it is not Tuesday.  The chart above was made from numbers from our local MLS for St. Paul, Minnesota for the month of March 2011. The data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed but there are few guarantees in life.

Not much has changed since last month.  Prices are up very slightly. Pending sales were up over February 2011 but it should be noted that February is shorter than March and that does account for a few sales.

The only thing these numbers really tell me is that the housing market it fairly stable.

For more numbers like these please so the Local Market Conditions & Home Prices Category.

is there a new normal?

 Maybe there is a new normal in the housing market but there is still some of the hold normal too.  Here in the Twin Cities real estate sales are seasonal.  In the last couple of years the good old US government has tried to stimulate the housing market with tax incentives and well it didn’t do any good except it put a few kinks in  the normal seasonal home buying curve.  

This chart is from a report I created in book a showing.  It shows home viewing activity by month for the metro area.   There is a direct correlation between home viewing and home buying.  Buyers generally see homes before they buy and the more home viewings there are in a month the more home sales there are the next month.  It should be noted that the inventory of homes on the market is lower right now than it was in 2009 or 2010 which will affect the number of showings but should not impact the shape of the curve.  

This chart shows the seasonal home sales curve.  It looks like this year is a little more old normal than new normal. 

home showing chart
three year comparison of home showings 

Home buying activity is always the highest in the middle of the year and usually the lowest at the end of the year.  This year there are no special tax incentives for buying a home but prices have gone down and so have interest rates and it is starting to look a little more like 2009 which was more like the old normal than the new normal.  
 

After the 1st or next Spring

springflowers
spring flowers

This is the time of year that callers want to see about putting their home on the market “after the first” or in the spring.  The sellers who want to list right after the first are probably ready and if they are not they can still be ready for Spring if they hurry but time is running out.

The spring market seems like it is a long way off but it isn’t.  Most years buyers who plan to buy in the spring or summer are already looking in February and some years we see the most offers on homes during the month of April.  If selling in the spring is the goal now is the time to get started.

The first step is to clean the place up and declutter,  The next step for St. Paul home sellers is to order the truth in housing report. It is a good idea to have things fixed up before the inspector arrives.  Here is a list of items that are most often written up.  Look at the list, fix what you can and then call for the inspection.  You can make repairs after the inspection but only the inspector can change the report.

The city does not require that the deficiencies be corrected but the home will look better to buyers if the inspection report is clean.

Take care of other small repairs before putting your home on the market because it will pay off in the long run.   Buyers will offer thousands less for a home that needs a couple hundred dollars worth of repairs. 

Call your lender and find out how much you owe on your home.  I know it is disappointing but how much you paid for it or how much you owe on it doesn’t matter to perspective buyers.  If you owe more on it than you can sell it for consider staying put or renting it out.  Asking for more than the home is worth just means it will be on the market for a couple of years.  I see it all the time.   If you must move start working on getting the money you will need to bring to the closing.

The goal should be to get your home on the market as soon as February  1st and no later than March 15th if the goal is to get the most exposure and sell it in the spring.

Last year a couple of people that wanted to list in the spring totally missed the target and by the time they were ready home sales had already started to slow down.