Sale prices higher than asking prices

One of the most common questions home buyers ask is how much should they offer when they find a house they want to buy.  Sometimes they ask if on average

coins
spare change

local home sellers are getting more or less than the asking price.

Right now on average home sellers are getting about 4% more than the asking price of their St. Paul home. However, I strongly advise against using averages. If a house is already overpriced it doesn’t make sense to offer that much more than the asking price.

So far home buyers are willing to pay over the asking price and over the value of the house. Some are putting in extra cash when the appraisal is low and the loan amount isn’t enough to cover the price.

However, knowing that on average home sellers in St. Paul are getting more than the asking price does give buyer’s a feel for the housing marketing.

Highest mortgage interest rates in a decade

Mortgage rates went up to levels that we haven’t seen since 2009. It should be noted that 2009 was during a recession and housing market crash. Housing prices have more than doubled since then here in the Twin Cities and in other parts of the country. In the early 2000’s rates were at 6 and 7% but houses did not cost as much as they do today.

It is likely that the higher rates will cause homeowners to reconsider selling. It is too soon to tell if it will dampen buyer enthusiasm. Homebuyers are making offers and competing with one another to make the highest offer so that they can buy a house. . . at least as of this week.

 

Mortgage rate chart
Mortgage interest rates hit 5.11%

 

First time home buyers competing with baby boomers

First-time home buyers looking for smaller homes in St. Paul are often competing with older homebuyers who want to downsize. This has been the trend for the past few years.

The younger buyer sometimes has an advantage because they don’t have a house to sell and some older buyers have an advantage because they can pay cash.

The number of cash purchases is up. In 2021 about 30% of home purchases were cash which is up from 2020 when it was less than 25%.

There are also investors who can pay cash and the number of houses that are being bought by investors is rising.

The only upside to the situation is that when people downsize they often have a house to sell.

In the next 8 to 10 years we should start to see a shift in the housing market as more baby boomers reach their 80s and in twenty years there may even be more houses for sale than there are buyers.

The best way for buyers to navigate the housing market this spring is to be flexible and ready to act quickly. Take advantage of holiday weekends and stay in town and make an offer. Houses often go on the market on Thursday with offers due by Sunday.

The first can be the best offer

blue house

It is possible to get multiple offers on your home for the asking price or more and then lose all of the offers and have to start all over again.

The offers are lost after the buyer backs out or fails to get financing and the other offerers have moved on.

The second time around it almost always takes a lot longer and the second round of offers are not as good as the offers in the first round.

The first offer isn’t always the best but good or great offers should be taken seriously. They feature excellent financing approved for a qualified buyer and may also include a large downpayment and a convenient closing date.

I had on sale last year where the buyer allowed the seller to leave furniture and junk behind. The buyer also offered an amount over the asking price with no contingencies. The sellers accepted and did not wait for more offers.

It is also true that an offer in hand is worth a lot more than possible future offers.

 

Also see: All offers have to be presented

Should I get my house appraised before I sell it?

Should I get my house appraised before I sell it?  The short answer is no. The longer answer is you could but it won’t take the place of the appraisal that the buyer’s lender will order. The market analysis or CMA from a Realtor isn’t the same as an appraisal but it is similar in that we compare the house to three others that are nearby, similar and that sold recently.

coins
spare change

The appraisal is part of the underwriting process for the home loan. Lenders need to make sure the house is worth at least as much as the loan amount. Appraisals are not an exact science. I have seen a few that don’t look like science at all.

Homeowners should also be aware that if buyers bid over the appraised value they will have trouble getting the loan approved unless they have a large downpayment. Unfortunately, we see a lot of offers where the buyer has a 5% downpayment but they end up bidding more than 5% over the asking price. Usually, such offers are rejected.

I usually advise against paying more than the appraised value for a house but there are circumstances where it makes sense. If the property is affordable and the buyers plan on living in it for a decade or more it might make sense.

Some sellers are rejecting love letters


Sellers are having it put in writing that they do not want to receive “love letters” from home buyers. Homeowners do not have to accept the letters and it might be best if they don’t.

We have had a few listings that have gotten multiple offers. Some of the buyers making an offer send ‘love letters” along with the offer. The letters say how much the buyers loved the house and how they plan to fill it with children. Buyers include pictures of themselves and of their children.

They also include information about the buyer’s marital and familial status. Sometimes the letter will mention a local church or parish school that the family plans to attend.

There isn’t any rule against buyers writing letters to the seller but I always advise sellers to ignore the letter until after they have chosen an offer or to consult their attorney. It is against the law to favor one offer over another based on the race, religion, or familial status of the offerer. It is best to choose the offer that has the best terms and is the most likely to close.

If the seller accepts the offer because they like the buyers the best and it wasn’t the best offer that could lead to a fair housing complaint. Sometimes the offers are similar but one offer has a letter with it that includes pictures. It is tempting to use the letter as a tiebreaker but a coin flip is a better way to go.

Sometimes homeowners believe that they have an obligation to sell their house to someone the neighbors might like. Neighbors come and go and it is illegal for the homeowner or the neighbors to help “choose” a buyer based upon Race (age in St. Paul), family status, disability, religion, ethnicity, etc.

It is important to look at selling a home as a business transaction and to look at the terms in the offers and what kind of financing the buyers are using.

It is also possible to write a letter that is about the house and maybe about interests in common with the owners without including demographic information. Sometimes buyers will want to let the seller know that they will take good care of the garden or that they will also use the shop to work on old cars. It is not considered a fair housing violation to sell a house to someone who likes to garden.

I have seen instances where love letters have backfired in that the sellers disliked the buyers based on the letter.

Sellers view love letters with caution