Mortgage rates trending down

Mortgage interest rates are in the news again. They went up to 8% and are now down closer to 7%. They will likely go down more in 2024. There are all sorts of predictions about what a wonderful year 2024 will be.

Next year is almost always predicted to be better than this year. Home sales have been down this year. I’ll have some numbers in a few weeks. As interest rates go down moving will be more attractive to homeowners.  Lower rates will also make housing more affordable. Some experts are predicting 6% interest rates by this time next year.

Is this a good time to buy a house? My answer is always the same. It depends upon your financial situation, where you want to move to, and if you plan on staying in the same area for at least five years. Timing is important.

chart mortgage interest rates
Mortgage interest rates

Contrived good news

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Interest rates on mortgages are trending downward, which is good news for home buyers and the rest of us too. Rates were at around 7.75% a month ago and are currently averaging 7.22%. [FreddieMac Mortgage Rate Surevy]

The rates are still ridiculously high and should give responsible home buyers reason to pause and consider.

In last week’s real estate news, there were a lot of headlines about “falling mortgage payments”. High-interest rates indeed translate into high monthly mortgage payments.

When rates go down so do monthly mortgage payments, however, if you currently have a mortgage your payments are not going to go down. They will stay the same.

Right now there isn’t anything about housing that is affordable or more affordable.

Mortgage rates over 7% but going in the right direction

Yes, mortgage interest rates are still ridiculously high but they are going in the right direction. Just because your parents had to pay 8%, or 9% or more doesn’t mean 7.29% is a deal. Houses are proportionally more expensive today than they were in the 1980s.  Houses have gone up by 310% since 1980. Wages have gone up about 17.5% since 1980.

If a lender or a real estate agent suggests that home buyers are dating the mortgage but marrying the house just walk away. It costs money to refinance and if housing prices level out or go down home buyers wishing to refinance may find themselves with no equity, or worse.

Mortgage rate chart Nov 2023
Mortgage interest rates

Cash buyers can take advantage of softer prices during the holidays and fewer buyers to compete with.

Be aware of “plunging” interest rates

Coins, moneyYes, it is true after going way up, mortgage interest rates have started to come down. The word “Recession” is appearing in the news again.

“Mortgage News Daily’s lender survey showed rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages falling 15 basis points Friday, to 7.36 percent, down 67 basis points from a 2023 high of 8.03 percent registered on Oct. 19.”

That is a significant drop but still much higher than low but also much better than way too high.

 

 

Mortgage Interest Rates are news worthy

We have another record high for the last twenty years or so. Current rates are higher than they have been at any time in my 22-year career. Be very cautious. You might not be able to “date the rate” and “Marry the house” as some Realtors are suggesting.

Also, check out the mortgage amortization chart I published last week.

Yes, homeownership is important but if it is going to lead to poverty don’t do it.

Mortgage Rates October 2023
Mortgage interest rates October 2023

Interest rate increases seem to be the only tool the Federal Reserve has for dealing with inflation. It doesn’t seem to be working.