Absorption Rates
The math used to calculate absorption rates is simple. Add up the number of homes on the market, and then find how many homes were sold in the past 30 days. (Homes taken off the market because they got offers) Take the total number of homes and divide by the number of offers made to get the absorption rate which is used to determine how long it will take for all the homes currently on the market to be absorbed by buyers, at the current rate of purchases. Absorbed really means sold.
St. Paul, MN
- There are: 1471 single family homes on the market. In the last 30 days 192 of them received offers and were taken off the market At that rate it will take about 7.6 months to sell them all.
- There are: 544 condos, and townhouses on the market. In the last 30 days 26 of them received offer and were taken off the market. At that rate it will take about 21 months to sell them all. This number has gone down by one month since last summer, but with the new construction downtown no one knows how many units are currently on the market.
South St. Paul, MN
- There are: 151 homes on the market including condos and townhouses. In the last 30 days 22 of them received offers and were taken off the market. At that rate it will take 6.8 months to sell them all.
West St. Paul, MN
- There are: 149 homes on the market including condos and townhouses. In the last 30 days 18 of them recieved offers and were taken off the market. At that rate it will take 8.2 months to sell them all.
Sellers should use this information to determine how long it might take to sell their home. Some homes sell faster and some take longer because these are averages.
Buyers should use this information to understand that if a home has been on the market for six months it is because it takes on average at least that long to sell a house, and that we have reached the tipping point, it really is a buyers market.
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Why is it that I’ve never added your blog to my blogroll Teresa? I stop by here all the time and I swear EVERY TIME I’m met with a great post….
Off to the next stop on the AR tour.
I’ll add you in my next update.
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Thanks! I read your blog almost every day
This is the kind of information sellers need – yet many of them still don’t want to acknowledge the facts.
As you pointed out, these are averages… and an overpriced listing will generally not sell within the average absorption time frame.
Add to that new listings that come on the market…
This is the kind of information sellers need – yet many of them still don’t want to acknowledge the facts.
As you pointed out, these are averages… and an overpriced listing will generally not sell within the average absorption time frame.
Add to that new listings that come on the market…
When you say, “In the last 30 days, 192 of them received offers and were taken off the market,” isn’t it more accurate to say, “192 of them were taken off the market, some because offers were received and others because their listings expired”? Just trying to figure out how many homes are actually receiving offers vs. just having their listings expire. Thanks for the great blog.
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good point! Thanks T